HILAAC BLOG

  Bitcoin Likely to Drop Below $100K This Year: In-Depth Analysis Market Sentiment & Prediction Market Odds Prediction market Polymarket has sharply raised its odds that Bitcoin will dip below $100K before the end of 2025. The probability currently floats around 62%, down somewhat from a high of 72% earlier in the week . Another source puts the likelihood at 61% . This rising bearish sentiment reflects investor caution and growing concerns about Bitcoin's near-term resilience. Whale Activity & Market Dynamics A noteworthy whale transaction, where 22,400 BTC was swapped for Ethereum , sent ripples through the market, shifting capital flows away from Bitcoin and putting pressure on its price . Meanwhile, perpetual futures markets show open interest has surged to a two-year high of over 310,000 BTC (around $34 billion), paired with funding rates spiking from 3% to nearly 11%. K33 Research flags this aggressive build-up of leverage as matching setups that preceded sharp ...

Donald Trump Jr. Invests in Polymarket : A Major Shift in Prediction Markets Introduction In the fast-evolving world of finance and technology, prediction markets have emerged as one of the most innovative tools for gathering data and forecasting future events. Unlike traditional betting platforms, prediction markets operate on the principle that when people stake real money on outcomes, the collective wisdom provides more accurate forecasts than polls or surveys. Recently, the spotlight turned to Donald Trump Jr., the son of former U.S. President Donald Trump, who made headlines with a multi-million dollar investment in Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction platform . This move is not only strategic but could reshape the landscape of political forecasting, financial speculation, and blockchain adoption. --- What is Polymarket? Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market built on blockchain technology . It allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events such as: Who w...